Stock mechanics: predicting recession in S&P500, DJIA, and NASDAQ

Details Stock mechanics: predicting recession in S&P500, DJIA, and NASDAQ Stock mechanics: predicting recession in S&P500, DJIA, and NASDAQ

2005-06-10

arxiv.org/abs/physics/0506098v1

Physics

Physics and Society

14 pages, 4 figures

Scientific paper

10.1007/s11534-005-0006-6

An original method, assuming potential and kinetic energy for prices and
conservation of their sum is developed for forecasting exchanges. Connections
with power law are shown. Semiempirical applications on S&P500, DJIA, and
NASDAQ predict a coming recession in them. An emerging market, Istanbul Stock
Exchange index ISE-100 is found involving a potential to continue to rise.

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