Physics – Geophysics
Scientific paper
Feb 2009
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2009georl..3604710y&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 36, Issue 4, CiteID L04710
Physics
Geophysics
3
Global Change: Climate Variability (1635, 3305, 3309, 4215, 4513), Global Change: Global Climate Models (3337, 4928), Mathematical Geophysics: Probabilistic Forecasting (3238), Mathematical Geophysics: Persistence, Memory, Correlations, Clustering (3265, 7857)
Scientific paper
Understanding the relationship between mean temperature and its variance is essential for the prediction of temperature variability in the European region. Results on regional temperatures have been obtained for the climate of the 21st century but they mainly focused on monthly-to-seasonal variability. Since environmental variables such as plant phenology, net primary production or atmospheric pollution react on shorter timescales, it is necessary to investigate how daily variability is related to interannual temperature changes. Here, we assess the mean-variance seasonal dependence of observed daily temperatures over Europe. We find that extreme mean temperatures in the summer and winter tend to be associated with more variance. This assessment allows us to test whether 11 climate model simulations used in the IPCC AR4 can reproduce this relationship in cold and warm seasons. Most models yield a fair performance in the winter, but apart from four models, the mean-variance relationship is underestimated in the summer.
Dacunha-Castelle Didier
Huong Hoang T. T.
Parey S.
Yiou Pascal
No associations
LandOfFree
Statistical representation of temperature mean and variability in Europe does not yet have a rating. At this time, there are no reviews or comments for this scientific paper.
If you have personal experience with Statistical representation of temperature mean and variability in Europe, we encourage you to share that experience with our LandOfFree.com community. Your opinion is very important and Statistical representation of temperature mean and variability in Europe will most certainly appreciate the feedback.
Profile ID: LFWR-SCP-O-917756