Physics
Scientific paper
May 2009
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2009georl..3610703l&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 36, Issue 10, CiteID L10703
Physics
4
Global Change: Regional Climate Change, Global Change: Climate Variability (1635, 3305, 3309, 4215, 4513), Global Change: Global Climate Models (3337, 4928), Global Change: Water Cycles (1836), Global Change: Impacts Of Global Change (1225)
Scientific paper
A gridded data set of precipitation records since 1950 was used to assess how observed precipitation trends in the Mediterranean area have affected the contribution of monthly precipitation to total annual precipitation in the region. Simulations of nine AOGCMs for a control period (1961-1990) and a SRES A1B scenario (2040-2070) were also used to explore potential future changes. The results indicate that the seasonal distribution of precipitation has remained stable in most of the Mediterranean basin, and that this is expected to remain the case for the first half of the 21st century. This finding is independent of existing precipitation trends and any predicted reduction in precipitation.
Gimeno Luis
López-Moreno Ignacio J.
Nieto Raquel
Vicente-Serrano Sergio M.
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