Physics
Scientific paper
Jan 2006
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2006georl..3302703k&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 33, Issue 2, CiteID L02703
Physics
3
Global Change: Climate Variability (1635, 3305, 3309, 4215, 4513), Global Change: Atmosphere (0315, 0325), Global Change: Global Climate Models (3337, 4928), Global Change: Impacts Of Global Change (1225)
Scientific paper
Seasonal predictability of global surface air temperature for the 100 years of 20th century is examined using the Climate of the 20th Century international project (C20C) AGCM experiment. The C20C experiments reproduce reasonably well the observed warming trend over the globe. The perfect model concept, one simulation being considered as observation, is utilized to examine the changes of seasonal mean predictability for the last 100 years. The global pattern correlations of seasonal mean temperature show clearly the seasonal mean predictability being increased since 1920s. The analysis of the ensemble mean and deviation also shows that the signal to noise ratio is much increased for the recent 30 years, particularly in the tropical and subtropical Pacific. The increase of the seasonal predictability is found to be related to the enhancement of SST variability over the tropical Pacific, which appears to be related to the global warming.
An Kyong-Hee
Jin Emilia Kyung
Kang In-Sik
No associations
LandOfFree
Secular increase of seasonal predictability for the 20th century does not yet have a rating. At this time, there are no reviews or comments for this scientific paper.
If you have personal experience with Secular increase of seasonal predictability for the 20th century, we encourage you to share that experience with our LandOfFree.com community. Your opinion is very important and Secular increase of seasonal predictability for the 20th century will most certainly appreciate the feedback.
Profile ID: LFWR-SCP-O-1211155