Repeating earthquakes and seismic potential along the northern Longitudinal Valley fault of eastern Taiwan

Physics

Scientific paper

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Seismology: Earthquake Source Observations (1240), Seismology: Earthquake Interaction, Forecasting, And Prediction (1217, 1242), Seismology: Seismicity And Tectonics (1207, 1217, 1240, 1242), Seismology: Earthquake Dynamics (1242), Tectonophysics: Dynamics And Mechanics Of Faulting (8004)

Scientific paper

The northern Longitudinal Valley fault in eastern Taiwan creeps at the surface with a small rate of ~1 cm/yr but slips in large earthquakes. To improve seismic hazard assessment, it is important to comprehend the slip deficit rate distribution at depth. We discovered 25 M L 2.1-4.6 repeating earthquakes in this area and inverted GPS measurements for producing an image of the along-strike spatial distribution of deep fault slip rates. The repeating events are located at the depths of 10-22 km with 24.9-77.5 mm/yr slip rates, which are comparable with the GPS-derived slip rates of 47.5 +/- 5.8 mm/yr at similar depth ranges. Based on distribution of GPS-derived slip deficits, since 1951, the northern Longitudinal Valley fault has become capable of releasing stored strain in a future M w = 7.3 earthquake.

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