Physics – Geophysics
Scientific paper
Jun 2004
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2004georl..3112212c&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 31, Issue 12, CiteID L12212
Physics
Geophysics
2
Global Change: Remote Sensing, Mathematical Geophysics: Modeling, Policy Sciences: Regional Planning, Information Related To Geographic Region: Australia
Scientific paper
The extent and trajectory of bushfire penetration at the bushland-urban interface are quantified using data from major historical fires in Australia. We find that the maximum distance at which homes are destroyed is typically less than 700 m. The probability of home destruction emerges as a simple linear and decreasing function of distance from the bushland-urban boundary but with a variable slope that presumably depends upon fire regime and human intervention. The collective data suggest that the probability of home destruction at the forest edge is around 60%. Spatial patterns of destroyed homes display significant neighbourhood clustering. Our results provide revealing spatial evidence for estimating fire risk to properties and suggest an ember-attack model.
Chen Keping
McAneney John
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