Prediction of the Maximum Amplitude of Solar Cycles Using the Ascending Inflexion Point

Details Prediction of the Maximum Amplitude of Solar Cycles Using the Ascending Inflexion Point Prediction of the Maximum Amplitude of Solar Cycles Using the Ascending Inflexion Point

Sep 2000

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2000soph..196..221l&link_type=abstract

Solar Physics, v. 196, Issue 1, p. 221-225 (2000).

Physics

11

Scientific paper

To predict solar cycle maximum in terms of smooth sunspot numbers, a method based on the slope at the inflexion point observed during the ascending phase of the cycle is proposed. Application to cycle 23 (beginning in May 1996) gives a predicted value of 103+/-20 (r.m.s.) for the sunspot number maximum. A comparison with predictions using other methods is given.

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