Physics
Scientific paper
Mar 2003
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2003georl..30f..39c&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 30, Issue 6, pp. 39-1, CiteID 1306, DOI 10.1029/2002GL016504
Physics
23
Global Change: Climate Dynamics (3309), Global Change: Oceans (4203), Global Change: Atmosphere (0315, 0325), Oceanography: General: Ocean Prediction, Meteorology And Atmospheric Dynamics: Ocean/Atmosphere Interactions (0312, 4504)
Scientific paper
Ensemble experiments with a coupled atmosphere-ocean model show that natural variations in the strength of ocean thermohaline circulation (THC), a key player in the maintenance of the climate of Earth, are potentially predictable one to two decades into the future. In contrast to previous studies, these predictable THC variations lead to predictable variations of the climate of Western Europe that could be of considerable benefit to society. Further model experiments also show that, under certain conditions, variations in the strength of the THC may even be predictable for more than 50 years into the future.
Collins Matthew
Sinha Bablu
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