Physics
Scientific paper
Jun 2008
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2008georl..3511603h&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 35, Issue 11, CiteID L11603
Physics
9
Oceanography: General: Ocean Predictability And Prediction (3238), Global Change: Abrupt/Rapid Climate Change (4901, 8408), Oceanography: Physical: General Circulation (1218, 1222), Geographic Location: Atlantic Ocean, Oceanography: General: Ocean Observing Systems
Scientific paper
We explore the potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (MOC) using a coupled global climate model (HadCM3). Rapid changes in the temperature and salinity of surface water in the Nordic Seas, and the flow of dense water through Denmark Strait, are found to be precursors to rapid changes in the model's MOC, with a lead time of around 10 years. The mechanism proposed to explain this potential predictability relies on the development of density anomalies in the Nordic Seas which propagate through Denmark Strait and along the deep western boundary current, affecting the overturning. These rapid changes in the MOC have significant, and widespread, climate impacts which are potentially predictable a few years ahead. Whilst the flow through Denmark Strait is too strong in HadCM3, the presence of such potential predictability motivates the monitoring of water properties in the Nordic Seas and Denmark Strait.
Hawkins Edward
Sutton Rowan
No associations
LandOfFree
Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation does not yet have a rating. At this time, there are no reviews or comments for this scientific paper.
If you have personal experience with Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, we encourage you to share that experience with our LandOfFree.com community. Your opinion is very important and Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation will most certainly appreciate the feedback.
Profile ID: LFWR-SCP-O-1248183