Operational forecasts of the geomagnetic Dst index

Details Operational forecasts of the geomagnetic Dst index Operational forecasts of the geomagnetic Dst index

Dec 2002

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2002georl..29x..34l&link_type=abstract

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 29, Issue 24, pp. 34-1, CiteID 2181, DOI 10.1029/2002GL016151

Physics

Geophysics

13

Magnetospheric Physics: Forecasting, Magnetospheric Physics: Solar Wind/Magnetosphere Interactions, Mathematical Geophysics: Nonlinear Dynamics, Magnetospheric Physics: Storms And Substorms

Scientific paper

We here present a model for real time forecasting of the geomagnetic index Dst. The model consists of a recurrent neural network that has been optimized to be as small as possible without degrading the accuracy. It is driven solely by hourly averages of the solar wind magnetic field component Bz, particle density n, and velocity V, which means that the model does not rely on observed Dst. In an evaluation based on more than 40,000 hours of solar wind and Dst data, it is shown that this model has smaller errors than other models currently in operational use. A complete description of the model is given in an appendix.

Affiliated with

Also associated with

No associations

Rating

Operational forecasts of the geomagnetic Dst index does not yet have a rating. At this time, there are no reviews or comments for this scientific paper.

If you have personal experience with Operational forecasts of the geomagnetic Dst index, we encourage you to share that experience with our LandOfFree.com community. Your opinion is very important and Operational forecasts of the geomagnetic Dst index will most certainly appreciate the feedback.

Rate now

Comments { 0 }

Profile ID: LFWR-SCP-O-965056