On the possibility for short time when, where earthquakes prediction with the using geomagnetic field measurements

Details On the possibility for short time when, where earthquakes prediction with the using geomagnetic field measurements On the possibility for short time when, where earthquakes prediction with the using geomagnetic field measurements

2003-08-29

arxiv.org/abs/physics/0308115v1

Physics

Geophysics

16 pages, 18 figures, 1 table, pdf, 489 KB

Scientific paper

This paper is an attempt for arguing the possibility for short time when, where and how Earthquakes prediction. The local when Earthquake prediction is based on the connection between geomagnetic quakes and the next incoming minimum or maximum of tidal gravitational potential. The probability time window for the predicted earthquake is +/-1 day for the minimum and +/-2 days for the maximum. The preliminary statistic estimation on the basis of distribution of the time difference between predicted and occurred earthquake for the period 2001-2002 in Balkan, Black Sea region is given. Examples for posteriori earthquakes when predictions at different World regions, using archive Intermagnet local data, are given. The possibility for local when, where earthquake prediction is based on the accurate, with special space and time scales, monitoring of the electromagnetic field under, on and over Earth surface. The periodically upgraded information from Seismic hazard maps is essential. The possibility for local when, where and how Earthquake prediction is based on the monitoring of geomagnetic field, electro-potential distribution in the Earth crust and atmosphere, spatial and time distribution of Earth surface radiation, gravitational anomalyties map, season and day independent temperature depth distribution, water sources parameters (debit, temperature, chemical composition, radioactivity), gas emissions, ionosphere condition parameters, Earth radiation belt parameters, Sun wind, Seismic hazard maps information for crust parameters (strain, deformation, displacement) and biological precursors.

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