On the low correlation between long-term averages of solar wind speed and geomagnetic activity after 1976

Physics

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Data Correlation, Geomagnetism, Interplanetary Magnetic Fields, Solar Terrestrial Interactions, Solar Wind Velocity, Dynamic Pressure, Long Term Effects, Magnetoactivity

Scientific paper

During solar cycle 20, the first full cycle with measurements of solar wind parameters, geomagnetic activity measured by Ap was found to correlate with the square of solar wind speed V, and activity measured by D st was found to correlate with the product of V and the southward component of the interplanetary magnetic field B(s). Both of these correlations break down during cycle 21. In the case of Ap, the much stronger variation of B(s) in cycle 21 compared to cycle 20 makes clear that the B(s) contribution to activity is important on yearly as well as shorter time scales. The product B(s) V-squared gives an excellent correlation with Ap over both cycles. In the case of Dst, the stronger variation of B(s) in cycle 21 causes a stronger variation in B(s)V, which is not reflected in Dst, perhaps because D st also depends upon solar wind dynamic pressure in a nonlinear way.

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