On the autoregression methods applied to the hourly nucleonic-component records

Details On the autoregression methods applied to the hourly nucleonic-component records On the autoregression methods applied to the hourly nucleonic-component records

Oct 1989

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1989stin...9110837p&link_type=abstract

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Physics

Autoregressive Processes, Cosmic Rays, Forbush Decreases, Magnetic Storms, Decay, Nucleonics, Radioactive Decay, Regression Analysis

Scientific paper

Application of autoregressive methods to temporal variations of the cosmic ray nucleonic component is presented. The hourly data registered in Rome (Italy) in the NM-64 detector with a threshold rigidity of 6.2 GV during the period 1977 to 1982 is examined. The results obtained through analysis of two Forbush decreases are discussed in detail. These events on February 14, 1978 and July 10, 1982 are shown to be best analyzed using a nonlinear autoregressive model rather than a linear model. The decrease amplitude and temporal recovery phase are easily reconstructed without the aid of external physical parameters.

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