Nitrogen constraints on terrestrial carbon uptake: Implications for the global carbon-climate feedback

Physics

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Biogeosciences: Biogeochemical Cycles, Processes, And Modeling (0412, 0793, 1615, 4805, 4912), Biogeosciences: Carbon Cycling (4806), Biogeosciences: Nitrogen Cycling, Biogeosciences: Biosphere/Atmosphere Interactions (0315), Atmospheric Composition And Structure: Biosphere/Atmosphere Interactions (0426, 1610)

Scientific paper

Carbon-climate feedback has been identified as one of the key areas of synthesis for the next Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC); however, most of the models on which the IPCC will rely are yet to consider vital interactions between nitrogen (N) and carbon (C) cycles. A major impediment to including N limitation in model predictions has been the lack of constraint to rates of N fixation worldwide. Here we use a theoretical framework that considers interactions of C and nutrients to estimate rates of terrestrial N fixation, and thereby examining how the constraints of N on land C uptake and global warming. We show that most global models without nutrient limitations significantly overestimated land C uptake, thus underestimating both the pace and magnitude of the predicted global warming. We suggest that the next IPCC assessment should consider nutrient constraints on carbon-climate feedback and the pace of global warming.

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