Modeling the mechanism of the interaction of heliophysical and geophysical processes

Details Modeling the mechanism of the interaction of heliophysical and geophysical processes Modeling the mechanism of the interaction of heliophysical and geophysical processes

Dec 1988

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1988ge%26ae..28.1005g&link_type=abstract

Geomagnetizm i Aeronomiia (ISSN 0016-7940), vol. 28, Nov.-Dec. 1988, p. 1005-1008. In Russian.

Physics

Geophysics

Autoregressive Processes, Geophysics, Solar Physics, Solar Terrestrial Interactions, Magnetic Disturbances, Regression Coefficients, Time Lag

Scientific paper

Based on relations and delays between various geophysical and heliophysical processes, a simple autoregressive model is developed for the effect of space-physical factors on geophysical (especially meteorological) processes. In this model, at a certain moment of time, any geophysical process can be represented as a superposition of preceding values of the process itself and the other space-geophysical and geophysical processes considered. This approach makes it possible to determine minimum orders of the autoregressive model necessary for the long-term prediction (one year in advance) of space-physical effects.

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