Physics – Data Analysis – Statistics and Probability
Scientific paper
1998-11-06
Physics
Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
40 pages, 1 postscript figure, 1 picture, uses mn.sty, accepted to Mon. Not. Roy. Astron. Soc
Scientific paper
10.1046/j.1365-8711.1999.02432.x
Pulsars are the most stable natural frequency standards. They can be applied to a number of principal problems of modern astronomy and time-keeping metrology. The full exploration of pulsar properties requires obtaining unbiased estimates of the spin and orbital parameters. These estimates depend essentially on the random noise component being revealed in the residuals of time of arrivals (TOA). In the present paper, the influence of low-frequency ("red") timing noise with spectral indices from 1 to 6 on TOA residuals, variances, and covariances of estimates of measured parameters of single and binary pulsars are studied. In order to determine their functional dependence on time, an analytic technique of processing of observational data in time domain is developed which takes into account both stationary and non-stationary components of noise. Our analysis includes a simplified timing model of a binary pulsar in a circular orbit and procedure of estimation of pulsar parameters and residuals under the influence of red noise. We reconfirm that uncorrelated white noise of errors of measurements of TOA brings on gradually decreasing residuals, variances and covariances of all parameters. On the other hand, we show that any red noise causes the residuals, variances, and covariances of certain parameters to increase with time. Hence, the low frequency noise corrupts our observations and reduces experimental possibilities for better tests of General Relativity Theory. We also treat in detail the influence of a polynomial drift of noise on the residuals and fitting parameters. Results of the analitic analysis are used for discussion of a statistic describing stabilities of kinematic and dynamic pulsar time scales.
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