Measurements of an anomalous global methane increase during 1998

Physics

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Atmospheric Composition And Structure: Constituent Sources And Sinks, Atmospheric Composition And Structure: Troposphere-Composition And Chemistry

Scientific paper

Measurements of atmospheric methane from a globally distributed network of air sampling sites indicate that the globally averaged CH4 growth rate increased from an average of 3.9 ppb yr-1 during 1995-1997 to 12.7+/-0.6ppb in 1998. The global growth rate then decreased to 2.6+/-0.6ppb during 1999, indicating that the large increase in 1998 was not a return to the larger growth rates observed during the late-1970s and early-1980s. The increased growth rate during 1998 corresponds to an increase in the imbalance between CH4 sources and sinks equal to ~24TgCH4, the largest perturbation observed in 16 years of measurements. We suggest that wetland and boreal biomass burning sources may have contributed to the anomaly. An adaptation of a global process-based model, which included soil-temperature and precipitation anomalies, was used to calculate emission anomalies of 11.6TgCH4 from wetlands north of 30°N and 13TgCH4 for tropical wetlands during 1998 compared to average emissions calculated for 1982-1993. For 1999, calculated wetland emission anomalies were negative for high northern latitudes and the tropics, contributing to the low growth rate observed in 1999. Also 1998 was a severe fire year in boreal regions where ~1.3×105km2 of forest and peat land burned releasing an estimated 5.7TgCH4.

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