Long-term prediction of proton fluxes in solar-cosmic-ray flares

Physics

Scientific paper

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Proton Flux Density, Solar Flares, Solar Protons, Distribution Functions, Energetic Particles, Interplanetary Medium, Solar Cycles

Scientific paper

Methods for predicting solar proton events and proton fluxes in flares
are discussed. An effort is then made to predict solar proton flares for
the 22nd 11-year solar cycle on the basis of the relationship between
the distribution parameters of solar-proton-event characteristics and
Wolf numbers.

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