Long-range dependence in Interest Rates and Monetary Policy

Details Long-range dependence in Interest Rates and Monetary Policy Long-range dependence in Interest Rates and Monetary Policy

2006-07-26

arxiv.org/abs/physics/0607245v1

Physics

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability

Scientific paper

This paper studies the dynamics of Brazilian interest rates for short-term maturities. The paper employs developed techniques in the econophysics literature and tests for long-range dependence in the term structure of these interest rates for the last decade. Empirical results suggest that the degree of long-range dependence has changed over time due to changes in monetary policy, specially in the short-end of the term structure of interest rates. Therefore, we show that it is possible to identify monetary arrangements using these techniques from econophysics.

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