Physics
Scientific paper
Oct 2010
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2010njph...12j5001h&link_type=abstract
New Journal of Physics, Volume 12, Issue 10, pp. 105001 (2010).
Physics
1
Scientific paper
We analyze the changes in the market odds of football matches in an online betting exchange, Betfair.com. We identify the statistical differences between the returns that occur when the game play is under way, which we argue are driven by match events, and the returns that occur during half-time, which we ascribe to a trader-driven noise. Furthermore, using detrended fluctuation analysis we identify anti-persistence (Hurst exponent H<0.5) in odds returns and long memory (H>0.5) in the volatilities, which we attribute to the trader-driven noise. The time series of trading volume are found to be short-memory processes.
Hardiman Stephen J.
Hutzler Stefan
Richmond Peter
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