Land surface impacts on subseasonal and seasonal predictability

Physics

Scientific paper

Rate now

  [ 0.00 ] – not rated yet Voters 0   Comments 0

Details

Atmospheric Processes: Land/Atmosphere Interactions (1218, 1631, 1843, 4301)

Scientific paper

This paper shows that realistically initialized land surface states enhance atmospheric predictability significantly out to two-to-three months during summer. The spatial structure of the impact of land initialization on atmospheric predictability can be explained by the simultaneous influence of soil moisture memory time and land surface-evapotranspiration coupling strength. A proxy for this impact based on soil moisture and evaporation anomalies is proposed. The results also show that the impact of the land surface on atmospheric predictability varies with season: enhancement of predictability is relatively small during boreal spring and autumn, and reaches a maximum during boreal summer. Remarkably, the predictability of atmospheric temperature and precipitation increases with lead time from spring to summer. This increase is diagnosed as a “transfer” of predictability from land to atmosphere: during spring, the soil moisture predictability is high, but this predictability does not impact the atmosphere due to lack of land-atmosphere coupling; during summer, the coupling increases, thereby transferring the predictability from land to atmosphere.

No associations

LandOfFree

Say what you really think

Search LandOfFree.com for scientists and scientific papers. Rate them and share your experience with other people.

Rating

Land surface impacts on subseasonal and seasonal predictability does not yet have a rating. At this time, there are no reviews or comments for this scientific paper.

If you have personal experience with Land surface impacts on subseasonal and seasonal predictability, we encourage you to share that experience with our LandOfFree.com community. Your opinion is very important and Land surface impacts on subseasonal and seasonal predictability will most certainly appreciate the feedback.

Rate now

     

Profile ID: LFWR-SCP-O-1425264

  Search
All data on this website is collected from public sources. Our data reflects the most accurate information available at the time of publication.