Interplate coupling in southwest Japan deduced from inversion analysis of GPS data

Physics

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Scientific paper

Recently, the Geographical Survey Institute of Japan completed the installation of a GPS continuous observation network in Japan, which has enabled us to investigate real-time crustal movements. In this study, we attempt to obtain spatial distribution of interplate coupling and relative plate motion between subducting and overriding plates in southwest Japan, using horizontal and vertical deformation rates, which were observed at 247 GPS observation stations during the period from April 6, 1996 to March 20, 1998. For this purpose, we carried out an inversion analysis of geodetic data, incorporating Akaike's Bayesian Information Criterion (ABIC). As a result, strong interplate coupling was found off Shikoku and Kumanonada regions, which corresponds well with the fault regions of the 1946 Nankai (M 8.1) and the 1944 Tonankai (M 8.0) earthquakes, respectively. We also found that interplate coupling becomes weak at depths deeper than about 30 to 40 km beneath the Shikoku and Kii peninsula. The recurrence time of great trench-type earthquakes was roughly estimated as 107 years, which is consistent with previous research. The direction of relative plate motion is oriented N53°W, which is close to the direction predicted from the plate motion model. On the other hand, a large forward slip was found in the Hyuganada region off southeast of Kyushu. Since the coseismic displacements associated with the two 1996 Hyuganada earthquakes (M 6.6, M 6.6) are removed from the GPS data, this suggests that after-slip occurred near the source region and/or that Kyushu moves southeastward stationarily due to other tectonic forces.

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