Internal variability of the tropical Pacific ocean

Details Internal variability of the tropical Pacific ocean Internal variability of the tropical Pacific ocean

Jul 2004

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2004georl..3114309j&link_type=abstract

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 31, Issue 14, CiteID L14309

Physics

Geophysics

14

Oceanography: Physical: El Nino, Global Change: Climate Dynamics (3309), Mathematical Geophysics: Nonlinear Dynamics, Oceanography: General: Equatorial Oceanography

Scientific paper

A 40 year integration of an eddy resolving numerical model of the tropical Pacific ocean is analyzed to quantify the interannual variability caused by internal variability of ocean dynamics. It is found that along the Pacific cold tongue internal variability contributes a significant amount to the observed interannual variability. This suggests that in this location the predictability of SST is limited to the persistence time of SST anomalies which is approximately 100 days. Furthermore, a comparison with other sources of variability suggests that internal variability may play an important role in modifying or setting up El Niño.

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