Intensified Asian summer monsoon and its variability in a coupled model forced by increasing greenhouse gas concentrations

Physics

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Global Change: Climate Dynamics, Meteorology And Atmospheric Dynamics: Precipitation, Meteorology And Atmospheric Dynamics: Theoretical Modeling, Oceanography: General: Climate And Interannual Variability

Scientific paper

The Asian summer monsoon response to global warming is investigated by a transient green-house warming integration with the ECHAM4/OPYC3 CGCM. It is demonstrated that increases of greenhouse gas concentrations intensify the Asian summer monsoon and its variability. The intensified monsoon results mainly from an enhanced land-sea contrast and a northward shift of the convergence zone. A gradual increase of the monsoon variability is simulated from year 2030 onwards. It seems to be connected with the corresponding increase of the sea surface temperature variability over the tropical Pacific.

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