Physics – Data Analysis – Statistics and Probability
Scientific paper
2007-10-04
Physics
Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Presented at MaxEnt 2007, the 27th International Workshop on Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods (July 8-13, 2007,
Scientific paper
10.1063/1.2821253
What is information? Is it physical? We argue that in a Bayesian theory the notion of information must be defined in terms of its effects on the beliefs of rational agents. Information is whatever constrains rational beliefs and therefore it is the force that induces us to change our minds. This problem of updating from a prior to a posterior probability distribution is tackled through an eliminative induction process that singles out the logarithmic relative entropy as the unique tool for inference. The resulting method of Maximum relative Entropy (ME), which is designed for updating from arbitrary priors given information in the form of arbitrary constraints, includes as special cases both MaxEnt (which allows arbitrary constraints) and Bayes' rule (which allows arbitrary priors). Thus, ME unifies the two themes of these workshops -- the Maximum Entropy and the Bayesian methods -- into a single general inference scheme that allows us to handle problems that lie beyond the reach of either of the two methods separately. I conclude with a couple of simple illustrative examples.
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