Implications of Ground Based Photometric Images for Long Term Solar Irradiance Variations

Physics

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7536 Solar Activity Cycle (2162), 7538 Solar Irradiance

Scientific paper

The San Fernando Observatory (SFO) has produced photometric full disk solar images at 5 arc second resolution since 1986, and 2.5 arc second resolution since 1989. We have previously shown that the best quantities for solar irradiance modeling are the photometric sums Σ , defined as the summed residual intensity on these photometric images. In particular, a linear regression of total solar irradiance S to the time series of Σ r and Σ K, the photometric sums in broadband red and Ca~II~K filters, respectively, does an excellent job of reproducing S during cycle 22 (Preminger, Walton, and Chapman 2002, JGR 107, Issue A11, SSH 6-1). We have also shown (Walton, Preminger and Chapman 2003, Solar Phys. 213, 301) that variations in the chromospheric network appear to account for no more than 25% of the change in S over the solar cycle. In this talk, we extend these results to cycle 23 and discuss their implication for long term changes in S. In particular, if Σ r = Σ K = 0 can be taken as representing the complete absence of solar activity, then one would conclude that the minimum level of S is not much below those currently observed at solar minimum; quantitatively, about 0.3 W~m2 below that level.

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