Impacts of the North Atlantic Oscillation and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation on Danube river flow variability

Physics – Geophysics

Scientific paper

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Global Change: Water Cycles (1836), History Of Geophysics: Atmospheric Sciences, Hydrology: Precipitation (3354), Hydrology: Runoff And Streamflow, Meteorology And Atmospheric Dynamics: Climatology (1620)

Scientific paper

Based on analysis of observational data we show that the impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the Danube river flow variability shows important decadal variations. A lag-correlation analysis reveals that winter SST from tropical Pacific and some regions from the North Atlantic are significantly correlated with the streamflow variations from spring and summer suggesting a possible predictive skill of the Danube river flow anomalies in these seasons using winter SST as a predictor.

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