How Good Can We Get? Using mathematical models to predict the future of athletics

Physics – Popular Physics

Scientific paper

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9pp, LaTeX (no figures); to appear in "Athletics: Canada's National Track and Field / Running Magazine"

Scientific paper

Track and field world records have risen and fallen throughout the history of the sport. A recent rash of record-breaking performances has prompted the question: "How good can we get?". This article offers a review of several attempts to answer this question, based on mathematical modeling of key physiological processes. The predictions are compared with present-day world records, and a discussion of the future of athletics ensues...

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