Geomagnetism and climate I: the last 400 years

Physics

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Scientific paper

During the last 400 years there seems to exist a close linkage between sunspot activity and paleoclimate. The combined Schwabe Gleisberg cycles provide a good approximation of past climate. Changes in the phase of the sunspot cycles exhibit a very close correlation with observed changes in climate for the last 150 years. The heliomagnetic aa-index provides a close correlation with climate over the last 150 years. The close correlation between sunspot activity and atmospheric changes in radiocarbon indicates that changes in heliomagnetic interaction with the Earth’s magnetosphere play a central role in this solar-terrestrial interaction; via its modulation of the cosmic ray flux or its modulation of Earth’s rate of rotation. Variations in cosmic ray flux have the capacity of affecting Earth’s climate via its modulation of airglow and cloudiness (especially at the level around 15 km). There is a good correlation between Solar Wind intensity and Earth’s rate of rotation (LOD), implying that variations in Solar Wind intensity (sunspot activity) act in retarding and speeding up in the spin rate of Planet Earth. During the Spörer, Maunder and Dalton Sunspot Minima, the Earth’s rate of rotation was significantly speeded-up, affecting the ocean surface circulation and the atmospheric circulation as to create significant changes in local climate; “Little Ice Ages” in western and northern Europe and “Little Interglacial” in southwest Europe and northwest Africa. In conclusion, Earth’s climate seems closely driven by changes in sunspot activity. This correlation may operate via the cosmic ray effects on airglow and/or cloudiness, or via the heliomagnetic (Solar Wind) effects on Earth’s rate of rotation, or a combination of these processes. Changes in the Earth’s own internal geomagnetic field seem to have played little or no role during this time period. Nor are there any reasons to advocate major changes in Solar irradiance.

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