Generation of interannual and interdecadal climate oscillations through nonlinear subharmonic resonance in delayed oscillators

Physics – Geophysics

Scientific paper

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Global Change: Climate Dynamics (3309), Mathematical Geophysics: Nonlinear Dynamics, Meteorology And Atmospheric Dynamics: Ocean/Atmosphere Interactions (0312, 4504), Oceanography: General: Climate And Interannual Variability (3309), Oceanography: Physical: El Nino

Scientific paper

The resonant behavior of delayed oscillators is studied using two simple prototype equations similar to that used by Suarez and Schopf. One prototype equation has a periodic modulation of simultaneous feedback, and the other prototype equation has a periodic external forcing term. The periodic modulation yields even-multiple resonance to the modulation periods, while the periodic forcing results in odd-multiple resonance to the forcing periods. The reason why these two-types of resonance occur in each system is explained. The key mechanism for the resonance is that a positive simultaneous feedback for small amplitudes sets a threshold. Only when the sum of non-simultaneous terms is larger than the threshold, a phase reversal can take place. The implications of El Niño elimination due to annual cycle and potential importance for the decadal variability are discussed.

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