Physics
Scientific paper
Dec 1991
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1991stin...9228872a&link_type=abstract
Unknown
Physics
Forecasting, Geomagnetism, Goddard Trajectory Determination System, Nonlinear Systems, Prediction Analysis Techniques, Solar Flux, Time Series Analysis, Aerodynamic Drag, Attitude (Inclination), Residues, Solar Physics
Scientific paper
The mathematical structure of the programs written to construct a nonlinear predictive model to forecast solar flux directly from its time series without reference to any underlying solar physics is presented. This method and the programs are written so that one could apply the same technique to forecast other chaotic time series, such as geomagnetic data, attitude and orbit data, and even financial indexes and stock market data. Perhaps the most important application of this technique to flight dynamics is to model Goddard Trajectory Determination System (GTDS) output of residues between observed position of spacecraft and calculated position with no drag (drag flag = off). This would result in a new model of drag working directly from observed data.
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