From concentric eyewall to annular hurricane: A numerical study with the cloud-resolved WRF model

Details From concentric eyewall to annular hurricane: A numerical study with the cloud-resolved WRF model From concentric eyewall to annular hurricane: A numerical study with the cloud-resolved WRF model

Feb 2009

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2009georl..3603802z&link_type=abstract

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 36, Issue 3, CiteID L03802

Physics

3

Atmospheric Processes: Tropical Meteorology, Atmospheric Processes: Mesoscale Meteorology, Atmospheric Processes: Regional Modeling

Scientific paper

Observations show that concentric eyewalls may lead to the formation of an annular hurricane (AH), but available radar and satellite images provide very limited information. By using the cloud-resolved Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, the transformation from a non-AH to an AH through a concentric eyewall replacement cycle is simulated under a resting environment. The simulated hurricane experiences three distinct stages: the formation of a secondary eyewall, the eyewall replacement and the formation of an AH. The simulated eyewall succession and accompanying intensity change are qualitatively consistent with observations. The bottom-up mixing of the elevated PV in the concentric eyewalls leads to the formation of an AH. The time of the transition from concentric eyewalls to the AH is less than 24 hours, suggesting that the concentric eyewall replacement is an efficient route to AH formation. The results demonstrate potential capability of the WRF model to predict concentric eyewall cycles, the formation of AHs and associated intensity changes.

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