Formulations for predicting the day-to-day variability of the ionosphere

Details Formulations for predicting the day-to-day variability of the ionosphere Formulations for predicting the day-to-day variability of the ionosphere

Apr 1981

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1981arelu..35..141h&link_type=abstract

Archiv für Elektronik und Uebertragungstechnik, vol. 35, Apr. 1981, p. 141-150. In German.

Physics

Ionospheric Disturbances, Plasma Dynamics, Prediction Analysis Techniques, Diurnal Variations, E Region, F Region, Ionospheric Drift, Ionospheric Electron Density

Scientific paper

An attempt is made to predict the day-to-day variability of important ionospheric parameters. Four possible causes are examined: (1) variability of the solar radiation in the extreme ultraviolet; (2) changes in the relationship with geomagnetic disturbances; (3) cyclical variations due to gravity waves which appear several times an hour, at least during the day, as travelling ionospheric disturbances; and (4) lunar tidal movements, both in the E and the F regions, as well as tidal effects on ionospheric drifts. It is found that variability of the ionospheric parameters is not yet accessible for predictions, but that knowledge of the F-region peak electron density might make possible a sharpened prediction for groups of two to three days.

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