Physics – Geophysics
Scientific paper
Aug 2007
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2007georl..3416827d&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 34, Issue 16, CiteID L16827
Physics
Geophysics
2
Mathematical Geophysics: Prediction (3245, 4263), Atmospheric Processes: Tropical Meteorology, Atmospheric Processes: Theoretical Modeling, Nonlinear Geophysics: Nonlinear Differential Equations, Mathematical Geophysics: Time Series Analysis (1872, 4277, 4475)
Scientific paper
Several indices of the observed Indian summer monsoon intraseasonal oscillations (ISO) are decomposed into their respective intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). For each ISO index, it is shown that for most of the dominant IMFs, the peak in the active (break) regime may be used as a predictor for the duration of the subsequent break (active) regime. Similar results are also obtained for a Stochastic Forced Lorenz model proposed earlier as a paradigm model for ISO.
Dwivedi Suneet
Mittal Ashok Kumar
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