Forecasting summer rainfall over India using genetic algorithm

Physics – Geophysics

Scientific paper

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Meteorology And Atmospheric Dynamics: Precipitation (1854), Mathematical Geophysics: Nonlinear Dynamics, Meteorology And Atmospheric Dynamics: Mesoscale Meteorology

Scientific paper

In this study we have assessed the feasibility of a nonlinear technique based on genetic algorithm for the prediction of summer rainfall over India. The genetic algorithm finds the equations that best describe the temporal variations of the seasonal rainfall over India, and therefore enables the forecasting of the future rainfall. The forecast equation developed in the present study uses the monthly mean rainfall during June, July, and August for past years over five rainfall homogeneous zones of India to predict the seasonal rainfall (JJA combined) over the Indian landmass.

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