Physics
Scientific paper
Nov 2008
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2008wrr....4411426e&link_type=abstract
Water Resources Research, Volume 44, Issue 11, CiteID W11426
Physics
Policy Sciences: Benefit-Cost Analysis, Policy Sciences: Demand Estimation, Planetary Sciences: Solid Surface Planets: Ionospheres (2459)
Scientific paper
We use contingent behavior (CB) analysis to examine the potential impacts of a hypothetical change in the clarity of a lake. We collect and use both CB and revealed preference data to estimate a pooled negative binomial count data travel cost model. From this analysis we calculate the consumer surplus per angling party day for our case study lake to be about $104, or a total annual consumer surplus of $1.4 million. Using this consumer surplus measure and changes in the intended number of visits obtained from the CB survey, we estimate the loss in consumer surplus associated with a decline in water clarity from 10 to 3 feet (1 foot = 0.3048 m) to be about $522,000 annually (a 38% decrease). Since this is the first such application of CB analysis to estimate the effects of a water clarity change, the study may illustrate a method well suited to analyzing changes in water quality attributes that are easily observable and well understood by recreators.
Eiswerth Mark E.
Kashian Russell D.
Skidmore Mark
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