Physics
Scientific paper
Jun 1988
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1988angeo...6..249p&link_type=abstract
Annales Geophysicae (ISSN 0980-8752), vol. 6, June 1988, p. 249-254.
Physics
2
Annual Variations, Critical Frequencies, F Region, Autocorrelation, Autoregressive Processes, Markov Processes, Solar Cycles, Sunspots, Tropical Regions
Scientific paper
Autocorrelation analyses have been performed on the deviations of monthly-median f0F2 from mean seasonal patterns for solar minimum and solar maximum conditions, and a Markov statistical model is used to determine the variance of low-latitude monthly-median f0F2. The prediction scheme in the present method is a mean seasonal pattern of f0F2 averaged over two seasons. It is found that a prediction is likely to be valid up to 2-4 months, irrespective of solar activity conditions. The rms error of the monthly predictability of f0F2 in the present approach is compared with that found for f0F2 predictability using the CCIR-R12 method.
Aggarwal Saurabh
Pasricha P. K.
Reddy Babu M.
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