Estimating the nonlinear response of tropical ocean to extratropical forcing in a coupled climate model

Physics

Scientific paper

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Global Change: Climate Variability (1635, 3305, 3309, 4215, 4513), Global Change: Oceans (1616, 3305, 4215, 4513), Global Change: Impacts Of Global Change (1225), Global Change: Global Climate Models (3337, 4928), Global Change: Regional Climate Change

Scientific paper

The nonlinear response of the tropical ocean to the extratropical forcing is quantitatively estimated using a coupled climate model. Preliminary results based on sensitivity experiments show that the tropical response attributed to nonlinear processes is less than 10% of the linear response for annual mean climatology. This occurs mainly because the ocean circulations, especially the meridional overturning circulation, tend to change proportionally with external forcings. This work provides a practical estimate of oceanic nonlinear response to global climate change in a complex model system, which in turn may allow the assessment of future climate change from the linear extrapolation of current climate.

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