Epitope analysis for influenza vaccine design

Details Epitope analysis for influenza vaccine design Epitope analysis for influenza vaccine design

2004-08-23

arxiv.org/abs/q-bio/0408016v1

Biology

Quantitative Biology

Biomolecules

20 pages, 3 figures, to appear in Vaccine

Scientific paper

Until now, design of the annual influenza vaccine has relied on phylogenetic or whole-sequence comparisons of the viral coat proteins hemagglutinin and neuraminidase, with vaccine effectiveness assumed to correlate monotonically to the vaccine-influenza sequence difference. We use a theory from statistical mechanics to quantify the non-monotonic immune response that results from antigenic drift in the epitopes of the hemagglutinin and neuraminidase proteins. The results explain the ineffectiveness of the 2003--2004 influenza vaccine in the United States and provide an accurate measure by which to optimize the effectiveness of future annual influenza vaccines.

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