Dynamical epidemic suppression using stochastic prediction and control

Details Dynamical epidemic suppression using stochastic prediction and control Dynamical epidemic suppression using stochastic prediction and control

2005-10-18

arxiv.org/abs/nlin/0510042v1

PHYSICAL REVIEW E 70 (4): Art. No. 046220 Part 2 OCT 2004

Nonlinear Sciences

Chaotic Dynamics

14 pages, 6 figures

Scientific paper

10.1103/PhysRevE.70.046220

We consider the effects of noise on a model of epidemic outbreaks, where the outbreaks appear. randomly. Using a constructive transition approach that predicts large outbreaks, prior to their occurrence, we derive an adaptive control. scheme that prevents large outbreaks from occurring. The theory inapplicable to a wide range of stochastic processes with underlying deterministic structure.

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