Do polar faculae on the sun predict a sunspot cycle?

Physics

Scientific paper

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Faculae, Sunspot Cycle, Calcium, K Lines, Polar Regions, Predictions

Scientific paper

A correlation between data on polar faculae for three solar cycles (1960-1986) and data on polar bright points in the Ca II K line for two solar cycles (1940-1957) is discussed. It is found that a new cycle of polar faculae and polar bright points in the Ca II K line begins after the polar magnetic field reversal, and that the smaller the period between the ending of the polar field reversal and the beginning of a new sunspot cycle is, the more intense is the cycle itself. Predictions are made for the intensity of solar cycle 22 and for the periods of strong fluctuations in activity expected in this cycle.

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