Do medium range ensemble forecasts give useful predictions of temporal correlations?

Details Do medium range ensemble forecasts give useful predictions of temporal correlations? Do medium range ensemble forecasts give useful predictions of temporal correlations?

2003-10-16

arxiv.org/abs/physics/0310079v1

Physics

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics

Scientific paper

Medium range ensemble forecasts are typically used to derive predictions of
the conditional marginal distributions of future events on individual days. We
assess whether they can also be used to predict the conditional correlations
between different days.

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