Convecting towards the catastrophe of substorm onset

Physics

Scientific paper

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Convection, Earth Magnetosphere, Energy Transfer, Magnetic Storms, Solar Wind, Dynamic Response, Potential Energy, Solar Terrestrial Interactions

Scientific paper

A nonlinear model of substorm evolution is constructed which self-consistently unifies the directly driven and the loading-unloading systems. Using only the principle that the magnetosphere minimizes its potential energy within the constraints imposed by external conditions, substorms are described with reference to trajectories on a cusp catastrophe surface. The model predicts the conditions required for substorm onset and the amount of energy explosively released at the beginning of the expansive phase.

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