Physics – Data Analysis – Statistics and Probability
Scientific paper
2011-08-30
Monthly Weather Review, 139(8), pp. 2650-2667, 2011
Physics
Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
32 pages, 11 figures
Scientific paper
10.1175/2011MWR3557.1
We consider the problem of an ensemble Kalman filter when only partial observations are available. In particular we consider the situation where the observational space consists of variables which are directly observable with known observational error, and of variables of which only their climatic variance and mean are given. To limit the variance of the latter poorly resolved variables we derive a variance limiting Kalman filter (VLKF) in a variational setting. We analyze the variance limiting Kalman filter for a simple linear toy model and determine its range of optimal performance. We explore the variance limiting Kalman filter in an ensemble transform setting for the Lorenz-96 system, and show that incorporating the information of the variance of some un-observable variables can improve the skill and also increase the stability of the data assimilation procedure.
Gottwald Georg A.
Mitchell Lewis
Reich Sebastian
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