Physics
Scientific paper
Jan 2010
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2010georl..3702402k&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 37, Issue 2, CiteID L02402
Physics
19
Hydrology: Land/Atmosphere Interactions (1218, 1631, 3322), Atmospheric Processes: Land/Atmosphere Interactions (1218, 1631, 1843), Global Change: Global Climate Models (3337, 4928), Hydrology: Climate Impacts, Hydrology: Estimation And Forecasting
Scientific paper
The second phase of the Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (GLACE-2) is aimed at quantifying, with a suite of long-range forecast systems, the degree to which realistic land surface initialization contributes to the skill of subseasonal precipitation and air temperature forecasts. Results, which focus here on North America, show significant contributions to temperature prediction skill out to two months across large portions of the continent. For precipitation forecasts, contributions to skill are much weaker but are still significant out to 45 days in some locations. Skill levels increase markedly when calculations are conditioned on the magnitude of the initial soil moisture anomaly.
Balsamo Gianpaolo
Berg Aaron A.
Boisserie M.
Dirmeyer Paul A.
Doblas-Reyes Francisco J.
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