Comparison of the probabilistic and deterministic models for prognosis of parameters of cosmic objects motion.

Physics

Scientific paper

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Motions: Artificial Satellites, Forecasts: Orbits

Scientific paper

An a posteriori probabilistic approach is considered to prognose the parameters of cosmic objects (CO) motion. Sufficiently simple systems of differential equations in deviations have been obtained. They can be used both for construction of operative expert estimations of the choice between the probabilistic and deterministic models of CO motion and for direct calculation of the most probable characteristics of the vector of CO current parameters.

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