Physics
Scientific paper
Dec 2005
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2005georl..3224712h&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 32, Issue 24, CiteID L24712
Physics
13
Biogeosciences: Biosphere/Atmosphere Interactions (0315), Global Change: Climate Variability (1635, 3305, 3309, 4215, 4513), Global Change: Impacts Of Global Change (1225), Global Change: Regional Climate Change, Global Change: Water Cycles (1836)
Scientific paper
Models of climate change predict close coupling between increases in aridity and conversion of Amazonian forests to savanna. Here we assess the vulnerability and resilience of Amazonian vegetation to climate change by analyzing observed climate-vegetation relationships using climate data, observed vegetation distributions, and evapotranspiration rates inferred from eddy flux data. We found that drought frequency is an excellent predictor of the forest-savanna boundary, indicating the key role of extreme climatic events for inducing vegetation change, and highlighting particularly vulnerable regions of Amazônia.
Hutyra Lucy R.
Munger William J.
Nobre Carlos A.
Saleska Scott R.
Vieira S. A.
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