Assessing the robustness of zonal mean climate change detection

Details Assessing the robustness of zonal mean climate change detection Assessing the robustness of zonal mean climate change detection

Oct 2002

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2002georl..29s..26t&link_type=abstract

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 29, Issue 19, pp. 26-1, CiteID 1920, DOI 10.1029/2002GL015717

Physics

2

Atmospheric Composition And Structure: Evolution Of The Atmosphere, Atmospheric Composition And Structure: Troposphere-Composition And Chemistry, Atmospheric Composition And Structure: Pressure, Density, And Temperature

Scientific paper

We assess the robustness of previous optimal detection and attribution studies considering zonal-mean temperatures. Principal results, which have consistently pointed towards a demonstrable anthropogenic influence on recently observed upper air temperatures, are confirmed. Importantly our detection results are not critically dependent on the inclusion of stratospheric as well as tropospheric temperatures. We find that detection is dependent on input field pre-processing choices, and on the choice of detection algorithm. There are a number of cases where either no signals are detected, or results fail a consistency test.

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