Physics
Scientific paper
Feb 2005
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2005georl..3204704w&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 32, Issue 4, CiteID L04704
Physics
22
Atmospheric Processes: Tropical Meteorology, Atmospheric Processes: Climate Change And Variability (1616, 1635, 3309, 4215, 4513), Atmospheric Processes: Ocean/Atmosphere Interactions (0312, 4504), Atmospheric Processes: Precipitation (1854)
Scientific paper
Understanding the origin and perpetuation of the monsoon cycle has eluded scientists for decades. Using a suite of unprecedented satellite measurements, we show that the antecedents of the active/break monsoon emerge in the western equatorial Indian Ocean (EIO). The initiation of a new rainy phase in the western EIO is preceded by in situ surface wind convergence and central EIO warming, both are induced by the subdued condition over the eastern EIO set up in the previous cycle. Thus, a self-induction mechanism appears to be operating in maintenance of the Indian monsoon intraseasonal oscillation. The finding here offers a focus for prediction of the active/break Indian monsoon with potential predictability about four weeks in advance.
Teng Haiyan
Wang Bin
Webster Peter J.
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