An Analytical Theory for the Early Stage of the Development of Hurricanes: Part II

Physics – Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics

Scientific paper

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34 pages, to be submitted to JAS

Scientific paper

In this series of papers, an analytical theory for the early stage (tropical storm stage) of hurricane development is proposed. In Part I, a linear theory and a nonlinear theory have been formulated. It was found in Part I that the linear theory, a kind of the 2D Rankine vortex, gives some unrealistic properties for hurricane development at the upper half of the atmosphere. In the nonlinear theory, the analytical solutions agree well in many dynamical respects with observations at the tropical stage of hurricane development. Particularly, these solutions offer new insights which have not been shown before. However, this nonlinear theory has a disturbing point: a discontinuity of tangential wind and geopotential with radius. In this second Part, this discontinuity will be eliminated satisfactorily without any significant changes to the results obtained in Part I. In addition, the frictional effects will be investigated, which has not been done considered in Part I.

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